17 Feb 2026

Advancing Multi-Scale Wave Modeling: Global and Coastal Applications During the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Abstract: Using the six-month hurricane season of 2022 as a case study and the spectral wave model WAVEWATCH III, this effort shows that wave parameters produced via a variable-resolution global mesh (5–30 km) agree with a diverse array of validating observational datasets at a level comparable to that of a constant-resolution mesh (3 km) that is six times more costly to run. The optimized variable-resolution, unstructured triangular mesh is faithful to land geometry and wave transformation gradients while relaxing focus in deeper regions where gradients are typically less pronounced. Wave parameters measured via satellite altimetry, stationary buoy networks, and drifting buoys are employed to demonstrate not only a substantial increase in performance over a coarse, constant-resolution grid (40 km), with RMSE reduced from 0.28 m to 0.14 m and Correlation Coefficient (CC) improved from 0.92 to 0.98 overall, but also a comparable level of performance to that of a mesh that has undergone a full convergence analysis. Performance comparisons isolated to shallow regions and near cyclonic storms highlight the importance of resolving relevant geometries. For nearshore data, RMSE improves from 0.29 m to 0.13 m and CC from 0.89 to 0.98; in shallow regions, RMSE from 0.29 m to 0.15 m and CC from 0.88 to 0.97; and under cyclonic conditions, RMSE from 0.62 m to 0.35 m and CC from 0.93 to 0.98. Wave model results using the variable-resolution mesh were further analyzed to provide a detailed summary of the wave climate, including wind-wave and swell partitions, over the six-month study period in the study area.

3 Feb 2026

Sensitivity and Impact of Atmospheric Forcings on Hurricane Wind Wave Modeling in the Gulf of Mexico Using Nested WAVEWATCH III

Abstract: Precise estimation of hurricane wind-induced waves is critical to enhance the accuracy of predicting coastal flooding events in real-time besides helping in the design of sustainable coastal/offshore structures. In this study, we aim to investigate the importance of atmospheric forcings and their impact on wind wave modeling for extreme hurricane conditions in the Gulf of Mexico (GOM) basin. Hurricanes Michael (2018) and Ida (2021) were chosen to be modeled as they were among the two most severe storm events that attained category 5 and category 4 status, respectively, during landfall in the GOM basin. A multi-grid nested modeling approach was implemented in WAVEWATCH III with three different wind forcings: ECMWF’s ERA5, NOAA’s High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR: v3 and v4) and ECMWF’s Operational High-Resolution Forecast Model (ECMWF) to model both hurricanes. The results generated through model simulations of various cases were compared with the field observations obtained at NDBC stations. One of the findings suggests that the ERA5 based wind model substantially underestimates the peak winds of both the hurricanes by 50–60 %, thereby resulting in significant underestimation of the wave heights by 40 %. Although the ECMWF model could not capture the maximum winds generated by Michael and Ida, it still gave better results than the ERA5 and HRRR (v3). The updated version (v4) of HRRR performed better than both ERA5 and ECMWF wind models in predicting the peak wind speeds and wind field distribution of Hurricane Ida in all the quadrants.

3 Jun 2025

Wind Forcing, Source Term and Grid Optimization for Hurricane Wave Modelling in the Gulf of Mexico

Abstract: This study evaluates the performance of WAVEWATCH III model driven by different wind forcing products and behavior of different parameterizations of the model’s source terms controlling energy input and dissipation and quadruplet wave-wave interactions during Hurricane Ida. We also compare the performance of the model configured on uniform unstructured and conventional non-uniform unstructured grids. Key findings show ECMWF-forecast and HRRR out-performed other products in capturing wind speeds relative to buoys, satellite and the revised Atlantic hurricane database observations. However, all products underestimated wind speeds above 20 m/s, with ECMWF and HRRR occasionally performing better for most wind speed values above 35 m/s relative to observations. The corresponding wave simulation results indicated Ida’s wave fields were better captured by model simulations with ECMWF and HRRR wind products, with biases of 2% against buoys in the Gulf of Mexico and 6% and 3% respectively against satellite data. We also highlighted limitations in bulk wave analysis by computing partial Hs and 1D spectra density differences between model and buoy for selected source terms. This reveals consistent overestimation at the lowest frequency bin and underestimation of the three higher frequency bins with a mix of negative and positive energy density difference across different frequencies.